Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.922148 1.078229 1.246301 1.439998 1.656306 1.889676 2.159713
2025-06-01 0.650300 0.863716 1.115726 1.431526 1.812736 2.254072 2.799414
2025-06-08 0.469550 0.704625 1.007083 1.415345 1.941868 2.587603 3.427962
2025-06-15 0.375442 0.628121 0.978337 1.481200 2.165043 3.042106 4.229111
2025-06-22 0.296412 0.551450 0.930870 1.507448 2.329379 3.425211 4.958334
2025-06-29 0.225875 0.469055 0.857620 1.481617 2.411709 3.696952 5.549957
2025-07-06 0.182552 0.419515 0.823235 1.503446 2.556332 4.055087 6.269540
2025-07-13 0.148498 0.377253 0.791895 1.522639 2.693504 4.405254 6.989929
2025-07-20 0.122786 0.343934 0.769092 1.550152 2.841350 4.774344 7.749281
2025-07-27 0.100619 0.311614 0.741926 1.565178 2.967423 5.114135 8.477214
2025-08-03 0.077020 0.268516 0.686431 1.522958 2.995094 5.303664 8.989279
2025-08-10 0.061781 0.240560 0.655437 1.519648 3.083989 5.587871 9.649355
2025-08-17 0.045936 0.205510 0.604555 1.475880 3.105428 5.775300 10.184450
2025-08-24 0.036533 0.185352 0.582663 1.485641 3.220928 6.119086 10.975550
2025-08-31 0.028070 0.163982 0.553477 1.476816 3.301791 6.409939 11.695610
2025-09-07 0.024524 0.158660 0.562638 1.548340 3.533776 6.959534 12.842328
2025-09-14 0.019973 0.146808 0.552532 1.577005 3.686757 7.382422 13.800302
2025-09-21 0.014731 0.128117 0.519614 1.550883 3.732508 7.623995 14.472813
2025-09-28 0.011784 0.118175 0.509053 1.573773 3.873829 8.034273 15.431600
2025-10-05 0.009337 0.108806 0.497970 1.593776 4.009864 8.439609 16.393392
2025-10-12 0.007494 0.101296 0.490902 1.622331 4.164174 8.882058 17.428643
2025-10-19 0.005825 0.093020 0.479250 1.637919 4.292176 9.281427 18.402049
2025-10-26 0.003915 0.079635 0.446050 1.594186 4.292760 9.449772 18.988714